Taking pot shots at “Big Pharma” is easy. Crack a joke about Big Pharma and you are sure to get a laugh. Amirite?
That is not to say there is never a fair point or two to be made about pharmaceutical development or marketing, or health care and the delivery of same in this country.
But what never makes sense to us is the idea that our clients deliver products with little to no value. Direct-acting antiviral medicines can cure more than 95 % of hepatitis C infections. Incredible advances can help prevent HIV infection and have made HIV infection more treatable. In 2000, measles was declared effectively eliminated in United States (although outbreaks of the disease are back on the rise because vaccination rates have dropped off).
The list of amazing progress in medicine goes on and on, and is part of the reason we take umbrage at the “get a name, file a claim” mass tort litigation that proliferates against pharmaceutical and medical device manufacturers. Using sheer force of numbers to bring litigation based on shoddy science does nothing to help patients who need innovative medical treatments, and carries a very real prospect of driving good medical treatments off the market due to out-of-whack litigation risks.
The Gardasil MDL is a prime example. This Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine has an incredibly high efficacy rate (close to 100%) for prevention of persistent infection, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2/3, and adenocarcinoma in situ (you know, cancer) in clinical trials. Following Gardasil’s introduction to the market, HPV infections that cause most HPV cancers and genital warts in teen girls have dropped 88%, and HPV-linked cervical cancers have dropped 40% in vaccinated women. So of course the manufacturer is being punished with a federal MDL.
Although the Gardasil MDL should not exist because of the Vaccine Act’s separate compensation system for alleged vaccine injuries, earlier Gardasil MDL opinions have been helpful. One dismissed claims as untimely and kept the MDL plaintiffs from collaterally attacking Vaccine Court findings. Another recognized disguised design defect claims as preempted under the Vaccine Act/Bruesewitz v. Wyeth LLC, 562 U.S. 223, 228-30 (2011), dismissed manufacturing defect claims (it is not a manufacturing defect if the criticized aspect of the product is in every single unit), and found direct-to-consumer failure to warn and fraud claims barred by the Vaccine Act. Another turned aside a constitutional challenge to the Vaccine Act itself.
And now we have another good decision on implied preemption, one dismissing the remaining claims for all the Gardasil bellwether cases (and other MDL plaintiffs pursuant to MDL procedural orders): In re Gardasil Prods. Liab. Litig., MDL No. 3036, 2025 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 44376 (W.D.N.C. Mar. 10, 2025).
The Gardasil MDL plaintiffs contend they have “postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome” (“POTS”), which is characterized by dizziness and occasional fainting when standing up, or “primary ovarian insufficiency” (“POI”), which involves lower estrogen or irregular egg release in women under 40. The MDL plaintiffs’ remaining theory was that the vaccine’s manufacturer violated state law by failing to warn medical providers about the alleged risk of POTS and POI.
Federal law, however, quite strictly regulates vaccine labeling. So the issue in the latest Gardasil opinion was one of implied conflict preemption of the impossibility variety: Was it impossible for the manufacturer to comply with both the federal vaccine labeling requirements, and a state law duty to add warnings about POTS and POI?
Although impossibility preemption is a “demanding defense,” it isn’t as demanding as the plaintiffs suggested. The MDL plaintiffs wanted the manufacturer to establish “clear evidence” that it was entitled to preemption (relying on language from Wyeth v. Levine, 555 U.S. 555 (2009)). But the MDL judge recognized that Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp. v. Albrecht, 587 U.S. 299 (2019) had clarified (we’d say superseded, or maybe abrogated) that Levine language. Post-Albrecht, Levine’s “clear evidence” language is “not to be interpreted as an evidentiary standard.” In re Gardasil Prods. Liab. Litig., 2025 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 44376, at *36 n. 7. It’s more of a “rhetorical flourish”.
Moreover, because preemption is a question of law, the MDL court recognized that it, not a jury, had to decide the preemption issue—and that doing so before trial served the interests of the litigants and judicial economy. Id. at 29 (citing Albrecht, 587 U.S. at 303).
Framing the exact inquiry, plaintiffs’ claims would be preempted if it was impossible for the manufacturer to comply with both federal and state law, either because the manufacturer:
(1) “did not have the authority to make changes to the label” that the plaintiff demanded; or
(2) established “that the FDA would not have approved the changes to the label that the plaintiffs contend should have been made.”
Id. at *36-37.
Starting with the first question, the court asked whether the manufacturer
was permitted under federal law to add [the plaintiffs’ proposed] warnings to the vaccine’s label without prior approval from the Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) (which is typically required for any changes to a vaccine’s prescribing information).
Id. at *27.
The answer was no, of course not. As with new drugs, the FDA controls the warning labels on biologics like vaccines, and it is not a question of “more is better” when it comes to warnings.
In formulating a vaccine’s label, FDA regulations seek to provide what may be best described as the “Goldilocks” amount of information; that is, ‘just right’ – not too little and not too much. In addition to seeking to include all necessary information, the FDA tries to ‘prevent overwarning, which may deter appropriate use of medical products, or overshadow more important warnings.”
Id. at *37-38.
As to the “changes being effected” (“CBE”) exception to prior FDA approval, federal law (21 C.F.R § 601.12(f)(2)(i)) potentially does allow a manufacturer to change its warnings, but only in very limited circumstances: If the manufacturer receives sufficient “newly acquired information” not previously submitted to the FDA, and the proposed change is based on “reasonable evidence,” it can roll out the new warnings as it seeks approval. But again, the information has to be new, and there has to be reasonable evidence—evidence “on the basis of which experts qualified by scientific training and experience can reasonably conclude that the hazard is associated with the use of the drug.” See 44 Fed. Reg. 2848, 2851 (allowing a CBE amendment only for “known hazards and not theoretical possibility”).
Relying on the CBE regulation, the MDL plaintiffs contended the Gardasil manufacturer should have unilaterally added warnings about POTS by 2011 and POI by 2013. The burden thus fell to plaintiffs to identify the “newly acquired information” that supposedly would have allowed these unilateral label changes. In re Gardasil Prods. Liab. Litig., 2025 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 44376, at *41.
Yet, as the Court noted, the evidence back then just did not support a causal connection, and was already known to the FDA anyway:
[By 2013], there had been only one published, verified case of POTS and four published case reports of POI. (In addition, there were scattered unverified reports of the illnesses, still totaling only a relatively miniscule handful). To the extent there were any broader studies or analyses before the relevant dates, they did not establish causal associations. Simply put, no scientist could reasonably conclude there is a causal association between POTS and POI and Gardasil based on this paucity of evidence, even putting aside the fact that the FDA was made aware of all these cases and studies (which raises a question whether they can even qualify as “newly acquired information”).
Id. at *28.
Having resolved the impossibility preemption issue by concluding that the Gardasil manufacturer could not do what plaintiffs said that state law required, plaintiffs’ claims were preempted.
Sensing what was coming, plaintiffs had tried a few dodges.
During oral argument and in supplemental briefing, they argued that if POTS and POI warnings weren’t required in 2011 or 2013, the court could find they were required on some other date over the following decade or so, based on a rough “totality of the evidence” standard. The MDL judge was having none of it (in judge-speak, it “declined this invitation to error”).
It is plainly impractical for the Court to separately rule on preemption for each day, month or even year between 2011 and January 2021 (the date of the last vaccination of a Bellwether Plaintiff). In fact, it is at least theoretically possible that [a manufacturer] could have had reasonable evidence of a causal association based on the “totality of the record” on a given date and then later not have such evidence if the record evolved in favor of [its] position.
Id. at *57.
The MDL judge also had a few thoughts about whether the FDA would have rejected “the changes to the label that the plaintiffs contend should have been made” if it had been asked:
[T]here is substantial evidence that the FDA does not agree with Plaintiffs’ allegations that there is a causal association between taking Gardasil and becoming sick with POTS and POI. The FDA has approved numerous Gardasil labels without any POTS or POI warnings from 2006 to the present; the department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) (FDA’s parent agency) has consistently opposed allegations of a causal connection in the “Vaccine Court”; and HHS / FDA has publicly stated its view that Gardasil does not cause POTS or POI in general communications and the federal register.
Id. at *28 n. 2.
The court’s discussion of the scientific evidence about whether Gardasil can cause POTS or POI is a good read. While a few pages shorter, it is reminiscent of the In re Zantac MDL judge’s dismantling of the scientific evidence in that litigation. A few notable nuggets:
- Temporal coincidence is insufficient for causation.
- Isolated case reports are insufficient for causation.
- Where the total number of possible adverse events in the time period is less than the overall background occurrence of the condition, the evidence is insufficient for causation.
- The FDA’s supposed lack of resources does not allow plaintiffs to ignore FDA standards.
- Supposed evidence about one issue (“autoimmunity”) does not help prove causation for a different issue (POTS).
- Experts who rely on a handful of adverse events will be called out when they turn around and nitpick powerful studies involving thousands of patients as being “too small”.
- Preemption does not allow paid litigation experts to opine, well after the fact, that the FDA got the warnings wrong.
At this point, there should not be much, if anything, of the Gardasil MDL left—and we just may have a good candidate for our “best of” list at the end of 2025.